http://www.cyprus-forum.com/viewtopic.p ... c&start=80
Jimski999 wrote:Numerous Turkish Cypriots have bitten the bullet and moved South and live and work in the local community around Paphos. I imagine these people will be classed as traitors by some from the North though no doubt they are here. They mingle with the locals in the shops, supermarkets, restaurants and Taverna’s. I can’t say I’ve seen a lynching in the streets or vigilantes hunting them down though unbelievable as it may seem to some from the North; they appear to be treated the same way as everyone else here. I only know they are Turkish Cypriots because my wife is Turkic and often comments about Turkish being spoken. To me the men look like Greek Cypriots (not like the Turkish people I work with) and it is very difficult to differentiate between the two; the give away for the Turkish Cypriot ladies is that they tend to wear Headscarves. Maybe these ladies and gentlemen are made of sterner stuff than some of our contributors?
I therefore wondered if there was an opportunity for GCs to encourage many more TCs (not settlers) to come south thus establishing a reintegrated community in which it is seen that TCs can live comfortably and safely with GCs? Incentives could include government grants to restore TC properties (including mosques) so they are habitable again after decades of neglect, schemes to encourage joint GC/TC businesses, schools, etc. Any TC living and working in the south would be eligible to participate in ‘one man, one vote’ democracy as it currently exists in the RoC in the same manner as any GC (or for any EU citizen within their own country).
If sufficient numbers of TCs were successfully integrated into the free and democratic, but demographically GC-dominated, south it would have the following effects:
(i) Send a message to all TCs that it is possible to live safely and prosperously with GCs in a reintegrated Cypriot community
(ii) Disturb the demographics in the north so that settlers outnumber TCs
(iii) Encourage TCs to participate within a single Cypriot democratic system rather than to argue for special privileges
(iv) Show the international community (EU, UK, Turkey, Greece, UN, USA, etc) that GCs are proactively showing a desire for a reintegrated community (this will counteract perceptions that GCs’always say no’ to plans for a settlement)
(v) Improve the overall infrastructure of the south (no more ghost villages and properties) with the short-term benefit of boost to building and associated trades.
All these factors could force the hand of Turkey and remaining TCs in negotiations towards reunification. Turkey would have a major problem as it would no longer be able declare that the 40,000 soldiers are there to protect TCs (many of whom will be living in the south), and moreover it would be clear that the north had become a little piece of Turkey, occupied predominantly by Turkish settlers and soldiers. This continued occupation of Cypriot, and therefore EU, land would become even more embarrassing and impossible to justify.
Could the RoC afford the financial incentives that would be required? Well, if it helped lead to reunification it would be an investment well worth paying as calculated within the following report.
The day after: Commercial opportunities following a solution to the Cyprus problem
http://www.prio.no/upload/Report-The%20day%20after.pdf
According to our calculations, if Cyprus were reunited, the recurring annual benefits to Cypriot businesses in the first seven years after reunification would generate, on average:
■ EUR 510 million per year in additional exports of goods and services to Turkey, of which EUR 385 million would be tourism and EUR 22 million would be transport
■ EUR 618 million per year in total additional trade in goods and services with Turkey
■ EUR 393 million per year in new business for Cypriot construction companies
■ EUR 155 million per year in new business for Cypriot real estate companies
■ EUR 316 million per year (excl. new business from Turkey above) in new business for Cypriot tourism enterprises
■ EUR 162 million per year of additional revenue for the Cypriot university education sector
■ EUR 103 million per year in additional income for Cypriot accounting and legal firms
■ EUR 184 million in new foreign direct investment (excl. construction and real estate above) into Cyprus
■ The annual boost to business—the annual peace dividend—rises from EUR 283 million in Year 1 to EUR 3.9 billion, or 10% of GDP, by Year 7.
■ The peace dividend is the equivalent of approximately EUR 1.8 billion per year (over CYP 1 billion or more than YTL 3 billion).
■ If this is translated into the annual dividend per family (household) in Cyprus, it comes to an annual peace bonus of approximately EUR 5,500 per household per year. This is around 20% of the current average salary in the southern part of Cyprus and an estimated 40% of the average salary in the northern part of Cyprus.
Seems to me the GCs need to be more proactive in their strategy for reunification. May seem difficult or impossible to ‘engineer’ major demographic shifts such as would be required with this strategy, but even within the last 20 years we’ve seen major population migrations as East Europeans have taken advantage of the fall of the Iron Curtain to move from the oppressed and poor East to the free, democratic and prosperous West. Anyone got any thoughts on the general ideas set out above and practical implementation?