Cyprus-Forum.com

[Get Real!]

United Cyprus Parliamentary Elections 2011...

This thread is to play with the idea of how the introduction of an imaginary united “Turkish Cypriot Party” (TCP) can affect the outcome of future Cypriot parliamentary elections.

All calculations made are based on the laws of averaging on past parliamentary election statistics (1991..2006) as supplied under…

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cypriot_le ... tion,_2006

First, I will present the TRUE parliamentary election statistics for the last four elections in a simple but accurate format I’ve put together in Excel:



For the next step I have to ASSUME the total number of Turkish Cypriots who have settled down in a united Cyprus, and then calculate based of GC averages the number of eligible voters, and finally the valid total turnout from the TC electorate so here goes…

Turkish Cypriots living in a united Cyprus = 100,000

Eligible Turkish Cypriot voters = (100 x 420) / 700 = 60,000 (60%)

Total Valid Turkish Cypriot Turnout = 60,000 - 5,000 = 55,000

I will now amalgamate the imaginary Turkish Cypriot electorate with the 2006 known statistics and adjust accordingly to form the results of the IMAGINARY 2011 parliamentary elections…



As can be seen from this reasonable estimate, the Turkish Cypriot Party (TCP), along with DIKO automatically become the power brokers to support either DISY or AKEL! It appears that it will replace EDEK's current status and even improve on that.

NB: To keep the antagonism alive and well for my partitionist friends… not a single GC has voted for the TCP, and by the same token not a single TC has voted for a GC party, in these calculations.


Regards, GR.

[Expatkiwi]

United Cyprus Parliamentary Elections 2011...

This thread is to play with the idea of how the introduction of an imaginary united “Turkish Cypriot Party” (TCP) can affect the outcome of future Cypriot parliamentary elections.

All calculations made are based on the laws of averaging on past parliamentary election statistics (1991..2006) as supplied under…

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cypriot_le ... tion,_2006

First, I will present the TRUE parliamentary election statistics for the last four elections in a simple but accurate format I’ve put together in Excel:



For the next step I have to ASSUME the total number of Turkish Cypriots who have settled down in a united Cyprus, and then calculate based of GC averages the number of eligible voters, and finally the valid total turnout from the TC electorate so here goes…

Turkish Cypriots living in a united Cyprus = 100,000

Eligible Turkish Cypriot voters = (100 x 420) / 700 = 60,000 (60%)

Total Valid Turkish Cypriot Turnout = 60,000 - 5,000 = 55,000

I will now amalgamate the imaginary Turkish Cypriot electorate with the 2006 known statistics and adjust accordingly to form the results of the IMAGINARY 2011 parliamentary elections…



As can be seen from this reasonable estimate, the Turkish Cypriot Party (TCP), along with DIKO automatically become the power brokers to support either DISY or AKEL! It appears that it will replace EDEK's current status and even improve on that.

NB: To keep the antagonism alive and well for my partitionist friends… not a single GC has voted for the TCP, and by the same token not a single TC has voted for a GC party, in these calculations.

Regards, GR.

Interesting preposition here, GR...

[Nikitas]

Well done GR, it is one of the most interesting posts ever.

[Tim Drayton]

I am afraid to say that you do not know the Turkish Cypriots very well if you imagine that there is going to be a single, united “Turkish Cypriot Party” (TCP).

[zan]

I am afraid to say that you do not know the Turkish Cypriots very well if you imagine that there is going to be a single, united “Turkish Cypriot Party” (TCP).

The divide and conquer will have the door shut in its face if we they were!!!

[zan]

United Cyprus Parliamentary Elections 2011...

This thread is to play with the idea of how the introduction of an imaginary united “Turkish Cypriot Party” (TCP) can affect the outcome of future Cypriot parliamentary elections.

All calculations made are based on the laws of averaging on past parliamentary election statistics (1991..2006) as supplied under…

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cypriot_le ... tion,_2006

First, I will present the TRUE parliamentary election statistics for the last four elections in a simple but accurate format I’ve put together in Excel:



For the next step I have to ASSUME the total number of Turkish Cypriots who have settled down in a united Cyprus, and then calculate based of GC averages the number of eligible voters, and finally the valid total turnout from the TC electorate so here goes…

Turkish Cypriots living in a united Cyprus = 100,000

Eligible Turkish Cypriot voters = (100 x 420) / 700 = 60,000 (60%)

Total Valid Turkish Cypriot Turnout = 60,000 - 5,000 = 55,000

I will now amalgamate the imaginary Turkish Cypriot electorate with the 2006 known statistics and adjust accordingly to form the results of the IMAGINARY 2011 parliamentary elections…



As can be seen from this reasonable estimate, the Turkish Cypriot Party (TCP), along with DIKO automatically become the power brokers to support either DISY or AKEL! It appears that it will replace EDEK's current status and even improve on that.

NB: To keep the antagonism alive and well for my partitionist friends… not a single GC has voted for the TCP, and by the same token not a single TC has voted for a GC party, in these calculations.


Regards, GR.

Very good GR.....Now lets put it to the test......Say, for instance..... ....The leading GC party wanted to...oooh I don't know.....raise taxes......Just off the top of my head.......And the tax rise would hit the poorer TCs hard but not the majority of GCs......It would bring great hardship to an already struggling TC people...... How would the vote go then?????

[Gregory]

United Cyprus Parliamentary Elections 2011...

This thread is to play with the idea of how the introduction of an imaginary united “Turkish Cypriot Party” (TCP) can affect the outcome of future Cypriot parliamentary elections.

All calculations made are based on the laws of averaging on past parliamentary election statistics (1991..2006) as supplied under…

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cypriot_le ... tion,_2006

First, I will present the TRUE parliamentary election statistics for the last four elections in a simple but accurate format I’ve put together in Excel:



For the next step I have to ASSUME the total number of Turkish Cypriots who have settled down in a united Cyprus, and then calculate based of GC averages the number of eligible voters, and finally the valid total turnout from the TC electorate so here goes…

Turkish Cypriots living in a united Cyprus = 100,000

Eligible Turkish Cypriot voters = (100 x 420) / 700 = 60,000 (60%)

Total Valid Turkish Cypriot Turnout = 60,000 - 5,000 = 55,000

I will now amalgamate the imaginary Turkish Cypriot electorate with the 2006 known statistics and adjust accordingly to form the results of the IMAGINARY 2011 parliamentary elections…



As can be seen from this reasonable estimate, the Turkish Cypriot Party (TCP), along with DIKO automatically become the power brokers to support either DISY or AKEL! It appears that it will replace EDEK's current status and even improve on that.

NB: To keep the antagonism alive and well for my partitionist friends… not a single GC has voted for the TCP, and by the same token not a single TC has voted for a GC party, in these calculations.


Regards, GR.

Very good GR.....Now lets put it to the test......Say, for instance..... ....The leading GC party wanted to...oooh I don't know.....raise taxes......Just off the top of my head.......And the tax rise would hit the poorer TCs hard but not the majority of GCs......It would bring great hardship to an already struggling TC people...... How would the vote go then?????

Taxes are in the hands of the executive not the legislative.

[zan]

United Cyprus Parliamentary Elections 2011...

This thread is to play with the idea of how the introduction of an imaginary united “Turkish Cypriot Party” (TCP) can affect the outcome of future Cypriot parliamentary elections.

All calculations made are based on the laws of averaging on past parliamentary election statistics (1991..2006) as supplied under…

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cypriot_le ... tion,_2006

First, I will present the TRUE parliamentary election statistics for the last four elections in a simple but accurate format I’ve put together in Excel:



For the next step I have to ASSUME the total number of Turkish Cypriots who have settled down in a united Cyprus, and then calculate based of GC averages the number of eligible voters, and finally the valid total turnout from the TC electorate so here goes…

Turkish Cypriots living in a united Cyprus = 100,000

Eligible Turkish Cypriot voters = (100 x 420) / 700 = 60,000 (60%)

Total Valid Turkish Cypriot Turnout = 60,000 - 5,000 = 55,000

I will now amalgamate the imaginary Turkish Cypriot electorate with the 2006 known statistics and adjust accordingly to form the results of the IMAGINARY 2011 parliamentary elections…



As can be seen from this reasonable estimate, the Turkish Cypriot Party (TCP), along with DIKO automatically become the power brokers to support either DISY or AKEL! It appears that it will replace EDEK's current status and even improve on that.

NB: To keep the antagonism alive and well for my partitionist friends… not a single GC has voted for the TCP, and by the same token not a single TC has voted for a GC party, in these calculations.


Regards, GR.

Very good GR.....Now lets put it to the test......Say, for instance..... ....The leading GC party wanted to...oooh I don't know.....raise taxes......Just off the top of my head.......And the tax rise would hit the poorer TCs hard but not the majority of GCs......It would bring great hardship to an already struggling TC people...... How would the vote go then?????

Taxes are in the hands of the executive not the legislative.

Of the ruling party

[Gregory]

United Cyprus Parliamentary Elections 2011...

This thread is to play with the idea of how the introduction of an imaginary united “Turkish Cypriot Party” (TCP) can affect the outcome of future Cypriot parliamentary elections.

All calculations made are based on the laws of averaging on past parliamentary election statistics (1991..2006) as supplied under…

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cypriot_le ... tion,_2006

First, I will present the TRUE parliamentary election statistics for the last four elections in a simple but accurate format I’ve put together in Excel:



For the next step I have to ASSUME the total number of Turkish Cypriots who have settled down in a united Cyprus, and then calculate based of GC averages the number of eligible voters, and finally the valid total turnout from the TC electorate so here goes…

Turkish Cypriots living in a united Cyprus = 100,000

Eligible Turkish Cypriot voters = (100 x 420) / 700 = 60,000 (60%)

Total Valid Turkish Cypriot Turnout = 60,000 - 5,000 = 55,000

I will now amalgamate the imaginary Turkish Cypriot electorate with the 2006 known statistics and adjust accordingly to form the results of the IMAGINARY 2011 parliamentary elections…



As can be seen from this reasonable estimate, the Turkish Cypriot Party (TCP), along with DIKO automatically become the power brokers to support either DISY or AKEL! It appears that it will replace EDEK's current status and even improve on that.

NB: To keep the antagonism alive and well for my partitionist friends… not a single GC has voted for the TCP, and by the same token not a single TC has voted for a GC party, in these calculations.


Regards, GR.

Very good GR.....Now lets put it to the test......Say, for instance..... ....The leading GC party wanted to...oooh I don't know.....raise taxes......Just off the top of my head.......And the tax rise would hit the poorer TCs hard but not the majority of GCs......It would bring great hardship to an already struggling TC people...... How would the vote go then?????

Taxes are in the hands of the executive not the legislative.

Of the ruling party

We are not discussing executive powers here but legislative. Executive powers will be different, including what will be a short rotation that includes a TC head of the executive.

Anyway, you are wrong on both counts just choose which one you are arguing.

[insan]

In such a case, no matter whether TCs have a single united political party or more than one; GCs rule, TCs just talk...

The only way for TCs to protect their violated rights and freedoms is courts... Court cases last many years and oppressed TCs begin emigrating as mass groups.

Happy end for GCs.