Cyprus-Forum.com

[Agios Amvrosios]

Things are about to get tense.

Many in Turkey and the Occupied areas have their heads in the sand leading up to the October deadline.

How will the EU react to a military Coup? Things are about to go Pop!Pop!Pop!

[gladius]

Things are about to get tense.

Many in Turkey and the Occupied areas have their heads in the sand leading up to the October deadline.

How will the EU react to a military Coup? Things are about to go Pop!Pop!Pop!

Really funny - one daydreamer more!

[detailer]

[brother]

AA you should have really given this more thought before you started to type, and at least put forward your arguement to why you thought this.

[cannedmoose]

I think AA should read this:


No evidence whatsoever of tensions ready to explode between the government and military...

[turkcyp]

deleted by the author...

[brother]

Now thats a balanced opinion with thought put into it why there could be a coup, take note AA this is what you should have done to get your point across and not be ridiculed.

[sk]

there will not be a coup in turkey by the military unless supported by uk and usa. the turkish generals want power but are not stupid,they will not dare to do anything(no matter what happens in october) unless they have washingtons and londons support

[cannedmoose]

The only counter I'd make to Turkcyps post is that I think the EU heads of government fully appreciate Erdogan's position in that regard. They know that if they pull the rug from under his feet, he will fall and likely be replaced by somebody who is far less pro-EU and thus far less maliable. Therefore, despite all of the controversy about Turkey's candidacy, I think it will progress from October, albeit at a very slow pace. But once the accession process begins, for the military to stage any attack on the government will become increasingly difficult without causing huge problems between Turkey and Europe. It would no longer just be an internal issue as before, it would become a European issue, just as Meciar's government in Slovakia totally derailed their accession talks and resulted in the country becoming a virtual pariah in Brussels for a number of years.

I think in the end the EU will create structures to accommodate Turkey in the medium term - a privileged partnership concept PLUS, i.e. voting rights in the Council, representation in the European Parliament, the same open market regulations etc. - but with the freedom of movement principle removed until Turkey develops to a certain point, which will delay 'full membership' possibly for another 10 years. This is all conjecture, but absorbing a country of 80 millions, many of them extremely poor by European standards, would otherwise be incredibly difficult.

[MicAtCyp]

Excellent post Turkcyp.
I have one question for you. Assuming the Military did not have the power to secure the securalism of Turkey do you think the country would turn into an islamic state? I mean suppose Erdogan finally gets his freedom for relegion through the EU what would be the big deal? Perhaps Turkey will have some islamic schools, some women will start wearing the scurf, after they have it all out of their chest they will get bored and forget the whole nonsense I think. What is your opinion?