WHAT NEXT?
The Brussels-based analyst forecast four scenarios. “There is the hunky dory, happy ever after scenario which is not the most likely. Then there is the possibility the leaders get bogged down in sand, and the talks drag on till 2015 with no one having guts to say ‘this is dead’.
“A third option is the talks drag to deadlock, the leaders walk out in acrimony, and we are left with a lingering status quo, which is the worst yet most likely scenario. A fourth scenario that might come after the third is that the politicians become brave realists, say the gap is too big to bridge, the status quo untenable, and decide to explore new options. This could bring an amicable parting of ways, a negotiated partition, as the maverick Marios Matsakis suggested.”
On a final note, there is another path the conflict might take, one which the international community is acutely aware of, the global economic crisis. If the crisis hits Cyprus harder by the turn of the year, and this coincides with substantial movement in the talks, then the prospect of a more prosperous island might be the juicy carrot that moves both communities to overcome the seemingly infinite obstacles blocking the path to reunification.
http://www.cyprus-mail.com/news/main.php?id=47548