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WHO forecasts 'explosion' of swine flu cases

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WHO forecasts 'explosion' of swine flu cases

Postby Lit » Fri Aug 21, 2009 3:12 pm

http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,4588419,00.html

The World Health Organization predicts that there will be a rapid and global spread of swine flu in the coming months and has urged governments to step up their precautionary measures.

The WHO has arrived at its prognosis by studying how the illness has been progressing in the southern hemisphere - in Southeast Asia and Australia, for example - where countries are currently experiencing winter and their annual influenza season.

The agency's Western Pacific director, Shin Young-soo, said on a visit to China on Friday that there would soon be a further global spread of the virus. He predicted that is was likely that most countries would see swine flu cases "double every three to four days for several months" until a peak transmission period is reached.

Earlier this year, the WHO declared the swine flu strain, (A)H1N1, a pandemic. Through last week, the illness had killed almost 1,800 people worldwide and spread to 180 countries with more than 177,000 confirmed cases.

Study says 'vaccinate children'

New research has suggested that the best way to protect against the spread of the virus was to vaccinate school-age children and their parents. Unlike most strains of flu, which are usually most dangerous to older adults, (A)H1N1 targets younger people, according to a report published in the journal Science on Thursday.

The report recommends making children the top priority because they are the influenza's prime transmitters and their parents are the virus' bridge to the rest of the community. Inoculating spreaders, the report contends, would create a 'cocoon' around the people most at risk.

Many countries, including Germany, have begun stockpiling millions of doses of vaccine in anticipation of a second, and more significant, outbreak of swine flu when the northern hemisphere's winter begins a few months from now.

gb/AP/Reuters
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Postby lioness 2 » Fri Aug 21, 2009 5:42 pm

I caught swine flu a couple of weeks ago. I went to work with a sore throat and got worse so I had to go home, by the afternoon I couldn't lift my head of the pillow, a temperature, cough, vomiting and a terrible headache. This flu knocked me for 6 and took at least a fortnight to recover from. So to stop it spreading children and their parents should be vaccinated it makes sense to me. Also if it makes an adult feel that bad how would it be on small children.
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Postby CBBB » Fri Aug 21, 2009 6:08 pm

More people die every year from the standard flu strains that are going about than those expected to die from swine flu.

Media hype as usual.
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Postby lioness 2 » Fri Aug 21, 2009 6:13 pm

You're probably right, but this swine flu hit me alot quicker than normal flu.
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