Talisker wrote:Paphitis wrote:Talisker wrote:This war in Afghanistan is ridiculous, and even more so because recent history should have taught us that military might, such as the USSR had for their invasion back in 1979, does not guarantee victory in such an environment and dealing with the tribal system there. The Soviets lost more than 14,000 soldiers in their nine year war in Afghanistan, endured an undignified retreat, and, as far as I can surmise, achieved none of their long term objectives. The objectives of this current war are not clear to me (nor, I believe, to our soldiers, or possibly even our politicians).
The objective is to neutralise the Taliban and Al Qaeda from Afghanistan and Pakistan and to also build the Afghan Security Forces to such a point where they will be able to control and defend all of Afghanistan from Taliban and Al Qaeda threats.
I dare say that the Obama Administration might achieve a miraculous victory by capturing the Al Qaeda and Taliban leadership very soon. I am suspicious that the previous administration did not try hard enough in order to achieve other more sinister objections.
I've read some interesting books about wars in Afghanistan and one of the features of the warlord-led tribal system is the regular and strategic switching of allegiances. So what can appear to be government-loyal tribes and regions can become Taliban sympathisers depending on a variety of factors. The Taliban can in fact melt away and reconvene as it suits them. In my opinion military forces from the West only serve as a focus for Taliban sympathisers to repel the 'invaders'. There may be an idealistic objective to purge Al Qaeda and the Taliban, and to make Afghanistan a more stable country, but the very presence of our soldiers is in itself counterproductive if this only serves to make the various tribes combine (under our designation of 'The Taliban') to remove us from their land (as they did to the Soviets back in the 1980's).
Well the Northern Alliance, which is a coalition of various tribal factions such a the United Islamic Front and the Mujahideen, are our allies in this fight. It is the Northern Alliance and Mujahideen that fought so vigorously against the Soviet Union and won. But in the end they were only able to control a small portion of Afghanistan whilst the Taliban controlled the remainder.
I believe the key is to build and establish the Afghan Security Forces to be able to control the country. This is the ultimate desire of the majority of Afghan people as they do not want to live under the Taliban anymore. The Afghan people have an amazing spirit and are willing to fight to the very end, because for them, nothing could be more worse than living under the Taliban's rule.
Our troops presence is a big motivator for various Islamic fundamentalist group but I believe the Afghan people have well and truly had enough and will reclaim their country very soon and live like normal people as opposed to living under the tyranny of crazed clerics.
Most Afghans would prefer our troops presence rather than have the Taliban rule their country and lives once more.