Nikitas wrote:Would a 2 state solution suit Turkey?
Hell NO!
Which is why this particular outcome is a major weapon in the GC arsenal!
Just imagine that nothing comes of these talks etc and we have had it. RoC officially lets go the TCs by ceding them a reasonable amount of territory and simultaneously recognises their state. This is not the same as the world community recognising them, it much MORE. It is instant recognition de jure and de facto and indisputable.
ANd then what? What will be the immediate consequences in the TRNC? The TCs will want to assert themselves in their own country. THe Turks will want to keep the TCs under their thumb. There will be tension, perhaps even conflict with an unknown resolution. Whatever the outcome no one will be able to touch the GCs nor criticise them, they will have shown magnanimity beyond all expectations.
If the TCs think they will make life harder for the GCs insisting an exerting pressure on the territorially diminished but now fully independent RoC by threatening political union with Turkey the GCs have yet one more political weapon, full and official Union of the RoC with Greece and permanent exclusion of both TRNC and Turkey from the EU.
Union with Greece means instant NATO membership, and EU status of an old and tried member.
All of the above is hypothetical but shows where a two state solution can lead and why it would not be acceptable to Turkey. It also shows why TUrkey knows how far to stretch the situation.
So the push is for a solution with will keep Cyprus formally independent by bound and limited in the exercise of that independence. As long as the TCs are willing to accept the status of a subject people of Turkey and will not claim their independence that is how it is going to be.
Nikitas, what a wonderful thought, we'll take independence if you don't want us and let us worry about Turkey or EU by ourselves, although we prefer to do it together, no worries mate.
