I took the view, that if the strong head winds were accurate, that was going to play a major part in making the plane “bounce” soon after touchdown as the speed of the airflow over the wings were changing to “too much” to “too little” each time the plane bounced and then re bounced again. I agree with you, that a strong cross wind would lift the wing it is striking (windward side) more than the other side (leeward side), using some sailing terminology, that would cause the plane to flip over, but seeing the footage, the plane only flipped over after the second bounce, which I believe the plane had staled at this point and was no longer able to fly and the lack of pilots able to control pitch or roll at this point, the aircraft did what it wanted to do. The results was deadly for the 2 crew members. What the plane did upon landing, it was like bouncing a flat stone on the water across a pond or a lake. We have all done that, right.!
The plane may have stalled. However it is a performance requirement to maintain a minimum
Vat (Velocity at Threshold) of
1.3 Vs (Stall Velocity), in the landing configuration. This is to ensure adequate Climb Out Performance in the event of a Go Around and also ensure an Obstacle Clearance Climb Gradient which would clear all surveyed Obstacles with a performance liability of an Engine failing on Go Around (assuming zero visibility i.e in cloud). This is an ICAO requirement. But a wind of 74 Knots with + or - 30Knot wind gusts could potentially be enough to cause the aircraft to lose enough airspeed bringing it close to the stall. Also, a small amount of rudder control input, when stalled, could cause the aircraft to enter a
spiral spin. I'm not saying that the violent roll on the runway was a spiral spin, but it is possible.
The way the aircraft violently pitched up and then pitched down may also indicate the possibility of
Pilot Induced Oscillation (PIO) or over correcting from the initial bounce since the pilot would've been weary of the possibility of
tailstrike. It would also be very interesting to see the position of the aircraft's Centre of Gravity and whether this was within the allowable Mean Aerodynamic Chord or envelope. If not, then the aircraft may not have been
balanced and this may have caused major
instability resulting in a drastic change the aircraft's flight characteristics. Cargo Shift could have caused this.
After the initial bounce, I would have instantly advanced all throttles forward, and selected a nose up attitude for a Go Around (GA). Bear in mind that in high wind situations, it is important to monitor airspeed like a hawk, and personally I would've come in a little faster than normal, so that I can be sure that I am able to very quickly achieve a +ve Rate of Climb on Go Around. In fact, at the slightest hint of any trouble, even before the wheels touched, I personally would like to think that I would initiate a GA. So it would be interesting to find out from the report on whether the pilots initiated a GA but could not climb out due to stall or not having adequate elevator trim to maintain a 10 degree Pitch Up due to LSAS failure...
Since you mentioned having had flying hours in a Pilatus PC-9, ironically, on the same day as the FedEx MD-11 crash, there was another air crash in Montana, USA, a Pilatus PC-12 that killed all aboard, all 14 of them. You are asking yourself, "yeah but, there are no 14 seats on that plane", which is true. 7 of the dead were kids, so I guess some were riding on parents laps. Another irony of the whole tragedy was, that it crashed into a cemetery short of the runway.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but a single pilot can only fly up to a 10-seat aircraft (prop), unless it is a Lear Jet, then you would require 2 pilots no matter the amount of seats the plane holds. But having 14 people on a plane, did the pilot not violate the 10-seat rule for this aircraft, even if it was within the load weight limits because there were 7 kids, by having more passengers than seats for them, although the airliners allow under 2 year olds to ride on parents laps as well, but then again, there are at least 2 pilots in any carrier planes.
CAR 5.01 states that:
Multi-pilot aeroplane means an aeroplane that is required by its flight manual to be flown by 2 or more pilots; and
Single pilot aeroplane means an aeroplane that is not a multi-pilot aeroplane.
http://casa.gov.au/rules/index.htm
In short, the
aircraft flight manual specifies the number of crew required to safely operate an aircraft. The flight crew members therefore are required to hold the aircraft endorsement (CAO 40.1.0) to operate and log flight time accordingly in accordance with the guidance CASA provides.
The Pilatus PC-12 is a Single Pilot Aircraft in accordance with its Flight Manual. The Royal Flying Doctor Service (RFDS) in Australia operate a fleet of PC-12 Medivac aircraft and these are always Single Pilot. I could be mistaken, but I think the Lear Jet might also be Single Pilot.
http://www.flyingdoctor.net/PC-12-Aircraft.html
An operator may impose additional training and/or qualification requirements and this could also be a contractual requirement from third parties. In other words, if a company has a contractual obligation for lets say fly in fly out operations for a mining company, then the client may stipulate Multi Crew Operations as a contractual requirement regardless of the fact that the aircraft Flight Manual only stipulates a Single Pilot.