Comment - The bankrupt policy of ‘all or nothing’
By Makarios Droushiotis
(archive article - Sunday, August 7, 2005)
As Cyprus marks yet another summer of tragic anniversaries, Makarios Droushiotis looks at how successive leaders have turned down one opportunity after another over the past 50 years
THE SUMMER in Cyprus is a time for sad anniversaries. This year, when the Cyprus issue completes 50 years as an issue of Greco-Turkish contention, the annual debates could transcend 1974 and attempt a deeper approach to the causes of this great national tragedy.
However, the political conditions prevailing on the island, as a consequence of the developments during 2004, maintain the debate in the stereotypical framework: the traitorous coup d'état, the barbaric invasion, and Makarios as the absolute victim of the conspiracy.
The criminal responsibilities of Turkey are granted, as is the apathy, and even the encouragement, of the US, but without the dramatic Greek mistakes we would have never come to 1974. In the 50 years of the Cyprus issue, the Greek Cypriots have never admitted to any of their mistakes having contributed to the disaster of 1974. They even blame the coup exclusively on the Junta, as if the previous three years of EOKA B activity had never happened.
The first lost opportunity
The new era in the Cyprus issue started with EOKA. According to historical sources, the initial purpose of the armed movement of 1955 was not to defeat the colonial power by guerrilla warfare, but to sensitise the international community, by means of limited action, to the Cypriot demand for self-determination, and to force Great Britain to compromise by diplomatic means, and certainly not by military ones.
The founding of EOKA coincided – by pure chance – with the challenge to the role of Great Britain as a regional superpower in the Middle East. In their attempts to maintain a hold on the area, the British sought to close their front in Cyprus. That is, factors beyond the political planning of the Greek Cypriots created circumstances favourable to a positive settlement on the Cyprus issue by diplomatic means.
During the talks between the then Governor of Cyprus, Sir John Harding, and Archbishop Makarios (1955-1956), the British offered the Cypriots a regime of self-administration, leaving even the prospect of Enosis (union with Greece) open in the future. The EOKA struggle, before it began in earnest, brought about the maximum possible result under the circumstances. Makarios, politically inexperienced, and blinded by the fanaticism of the era, was not in a position to see, let alone exploit, the circumstances. He rejected the British proposal and adopted the dogma of "all or nothing".
Four years of armed struggle later, and after the Turks became part of the issue, after much blood was spilt and after the barriers in the relations between Greeks and Turks in Cyprus rose, Makarios found himself before the dilemma of partition or bound independence, in a common state with the Turks. Before the spectre of partition, he made the compromise of Zurich.
Independence was never a choice of the Greek Cypriots. But, under those circumstances, it was a good solution. As soon as they felt that the danger of partition was past, the Greek Cypriot leadership attempted to revise the Zurich agreements. Turkey and the Turkish Cypriots, who were betting on their mistakes, did all they could to push them in this direction.
Makarios' attempt unilaterally to revise the constitution brought Cyprus to the brink of disaster and caused the first form of partition, with the secession of the Turkish Cypriots from the Republic of Cyprus and their concentration into geographical enclaves, with an autonomous administration under the guidance of Turkey.
The second great opportunity
History gave Cyprus another great opportunity to shake off the weight of the national problem. Six years after the collapse of Zurich, the Turkish policy of partition for Cyprus was at a dead end. The Turkish Cypriots were becoming more and more dependent on the strong Greek Cypriot economy. The enclaves began to dissolve and the young began to emigrate, while the cost of $20 million a year to Turkey for maintaining the Turkish Cypriot administration was hard to bear for the economic circumstances of the era.
At that point when the Greek Cypriots had the upper hand, the Turkish Cypriots were forced to make a series of compromises. Within the framework of intercommunal talks between Clerides and Denktash, they were obliged to accept a solution improving on the Zurich agreements, and abolishing many of the privileges they secured with the 1959 agreements. Makarios did not dare to compromise while he was in a position of advantage and postponed the solution to an indeterminate future, expecting fully to absorb the Turkish Cypriots and adhering to the logic of "all or nothing".
In life as in politics, no-one knows what the next day will bring. The monster of nationalism, which had its roots in the policies of conflict of the 50s and 60s, caused chaos inside Cyprus which climaxed in the coup of July 15, 1974.
20-20 hindsight
Had the Cyprus issue been solved, there would never have been a coup, for the simple reason that there would be no army on Cyprus. And if the Junta dared a coup to prevent a solution that was an improvement on Zurich, the Cyprus crisis would have been handled completely differently by the international community, including the US.
Only after the dramatic consequences of the Turkish invasion, on July 29, 1974, did Makarios submit, via Henry Kissinger, a memo to the Turkish government, suggesting the immediate return to the status outlined by Zurich! But Zurich had already been rendered obsolete by the facts. The circumstances had changed. The rules of the game were now determined by the strong party, which under those circumstances was Turkey.
At the end of July 1974, while the Turks occupied less than 20 per cent of the land area of Cyprus, the US was pressing the Greek side hard to accept a solution of geographic federation as the only antidote to the completion of partition. Greek Prime Minister Constantinos Karamanlis and Acting President of the Republic of Cyprus Glafcos Clerides were in agreement, but Makarios, despite the national disaster caused by the invasion, remained attached to "all or nothing": "The Archbishop will never attach his signature to an arbitrary act by Turkey, even if the Turks occupy the whole of Cyprus," he wrote to Karamanlis on August 2, 1974. Two years later, the faits accomplis of the invasion forced him to "attach his signature to an arbitrary act by Turkey", by accepting a federal solution to the Cyprus issue.
Shortly before he died, Makarios publicly instituted the policy of the long-term struggle. While in the '60s the search for a solution in some indeterminate future favoured the interests of the Greek Cypriots, in this particular instance the approach to the time factor was clearly defensive. Makarios considered, correctly, that only a change in the international circumstances would make a just solution to the Cyprus issue possible. At the same time, the postponement of the solution also favoured the Turkish policy of gradual establishment of the faits accomplis as permanent.
The last wasted coincidence
It took three decades for the international circumstances to change. After the 1974 drama, Cyprus had another rendezvous with History in 2004. For the first time in its history, Cyprus gained a determining role in the future of Turkey. The induction of the country in the EU and the desire on the part of Turkey to move in the direction of Europe annulled the Turkish dogma established by Ecevit, which stated that the Cyprus issue had been solved in 1974.
At this unique historic juncture, the Cyprus issue was found to be administered by two politicians of the EOKA era and the 1960s: Glafcos Clerides at first, and, later, Tassos Papadopoulos. Both have admitted that the political choices of the past were disastrous:
l Papadopoulos (Vima, Athens, May 2004) called the Makarios - Harding talks a real lost opportunity. Also, at a public speech in Nicosia
(January 13, 2005) he called the Zurich solution a "blessing".
l Clerides thinks of the non-completion of the 1973 agreement as a lost opportunity, while he believes that if Makarios accepted federation in 1974 instead of 1976, the Cyprus issue could have been solved. (E, July 15, 2004).
Clerides is thought of as the spokesman for the realistic school, and Papadopoulos as the one for the rejectionist school on the Cyprus issue. However, they both share the common characteristic of never having learnt from the mistakes of the past:
l Clerides, though he was President for 10 years, never prepared society for a solution, but only for non-solution and conflict: he was elected President in 1993 to bury the ideas proposed by UN Secretary-general Boutros-Boutros Gali, which had been accepted by his predecessor George Vassiliou, and in 1998 on the platform of the S-300 missiles.
l It took Papadopoulos 45 years to realise that independence was, under the circumstances of the time, a good solution in 1959. "The Cypriot people had become possessed by emotion, and had not been able to temper emotion with logic," he said about Zurich.
Forty-five years after Zurich, by stirring the same emotions, Papadopoulos led the people, who were unprepared for a solution, to repeat the same mistake. He himself - like Makarios in 1955 - did not see, let alone exploit, the historic confluence of 2004, to negotiate assertively, but also constructively, the solution of the Cyprus issue, at a time when the US, Turkey and the EU were eager to rid themselves of the problem. Having wasted the opportunity with decisions which have excused Turkey of her criminal responsibilities for 1974, he is now applying a policy of seeking a solution in some indeterminate future, based on the bankrupt policy of "all or nothing", with the expectation of absorbing the Turkish Cypriots.
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