Viewpoint wrote:
Condensing means providing the basics and not clouding up in jargon which means the following;
1. Transitional period of 5 years providing,
2. We have to stock up on TCs from abroad,
3. Allow for TCs who live abroad to vote from abroad,
4. Only GCs with property currently in the N.State may vote for 5 years (EU deerofgration required),
5. End of the 5 year period as put in your own words a free for all.
You forgot the most important one, which is to have only ONE seat open in the Upper House from each state per year, which will eliminate watering down the votes of the TC's in the north state if all 5 seats were up for election once every 5 years, that might make it easier for a GC to be elected with far less GC population than the TC's in the north state, if and when all the GC's were to collude to "steal" one of the seats in the north for the Upper House, given that, they (GC's) are also entitled to vote for whom ever they wished for.
I think and correct me if I am wrong you aim is to increase the number of TCs to buffer any predetermined attempts or natural development by the devious GCs to take the one seat they require in the North state therefore in effect taking control of the whole island and leaving TCs out in the cold yet again.
My attempt to increase the TC numbers is to shore up the much needed TC's in the north state for the 20% land that we are talking about, because the True TC's population at the moment is not 250,000 as you would like to claim but 120,000 at best. Recent press release puts it at 90,000 in fact. But since you believe many TC's will not vacate from their present locations to move into the newly created north state, then you will need more TC's to counter the numbers of what will be the original GC's who may want to move back to their properties in the north. If you cannot get more TC's to move to the north state and want to avoid the possibility of the GC's outnumbering you in the future, then you are left with no other alternative, but to reduce the north state even further that will reflect the True TC's numbers.
I have made it clear from the beginning, that most of the TC's will need to live in the north state to be able to hold onto the Upper House seats. Now, if many TC's do not care about the Upper House seats and feel comfortable living in the south state with the GC's, just because they would feel comfortable with the protections provided for them under the new constitution and being also being in the EU, then you will need to reduce the north state to much smaller size than the 20%. To counter this problem, I would suggest that many TC's living abroad should be encouraged to come and live in the north state. Were you not telling us recently, that upon a solution, many TC's will return back to Cyprus. Well, I have given them 5 years to make up their minds and return, while keeping the GC population to only those who had property in the north state before 1974. This would give the TC's 5 years head start to "stock up" their numbers.!
You are yet to give me any decent examples as to how it would be detrimental for the TC's, if by chance, the GC's did have a majority in the Upper House. Politics is not absolute, therefore anything can happen, then it changes again, and again and again. This is Democracy at work. The moment Cypriots start voting based on political ideology, the better for all concerned, so rather than worrying about what may happen 15, 20 years down the road a system based on ethnic lines, why don't you put your energy in creating a system where decisions are based on political ideology, which then, it would not make any difference who votes for whom or where they live, if you are really serious about not seeking a partition down the road. Besides, what is it that the GC's will be able to do, that the protections that would be already in the new constitution will not be able to protect the TC's, not to mention the protections from the EU.?
Arent you being rather naive here or is it yet again another camaflouged attempt at exposing us to GC dominance and danger. The bolstering of the TCs numbers only brings with it a distribution of TCs all over the island just not in the north state as these TCs own properties all over the island the same will go for GCs, their numbers will increase in the north state which will ineffect place us in more danger during the transitional period coupled with the right to vote form abroad the GCs who numbers will make a bigger impact in the north will place us in dange rof losing the one seat necessary to brush us aside.
You are all confused, I'm afraid. During the 5 years transitional period, only GC's who had properties that will lie in the north state will be able to return, where as TC's who do not own properties in the north prior to 1974 and now live abroad or in Cyprus for that matter, will be able to move to the north and establish their residence right away. If the north state is 20%, which is 17% smaller than what it is today which signifies to about 180,000-200,000 GC refugees, mathematically speaking, approx. 150,000 GC refugees will be able to move to their properties to be part of the south state. As I stated before, it may be possible to return some land back to the GC's that will not be part of the constituent south state, but as a separate parcel of land that will be part of the greater south state. I had also suggested the same to be done for the north state to capitalize on land where TC's are the majority and return land that is overwhelmingly GC, but you have refused this idea. I don't know what difference it makes if you both south and north states are more than one piece if there are no intentions to try and break off the parts to claim independence. This is the reason why we need True Federation, so that such ideas are put to rest and that it would not happen. It would be more in the TC's favour to have such an arrangement, to help them in the Upper House to maintain those 5 seats in a True Democratic way.
If returning TC's want to move to the south state upon coming from abroad in the first 5 years, they can do so, only if they had properties in the south prior to 1974. But if you are complaining now, that returning TC's may move to the south state and not to the north, than that will be their choice, which once again, it would mean that they are not too concerned in what happens to the upper house since they will rely on the constitution to protect them. They can also sell their properties in the south and buy another in the north within that 5 years and there after. Basically speaking, the TC's from all over are given the option to move to the north state along with the small number of GC's who already had properties in the north state, and the same goes in the south state with the GC's.
Another question why do we need to return to 1970 ratios?
I never used 1970 for anything. The year I gave was the 1960 GC-TC ratios at 4:1, and the reason being, it is when the RoC was formed.
Couls you clarify why we need such a complicated upper house scale to years of service ratio? arent you discriminating against MPsbecuase they received less votes and even if all MPs served the 5 year term or rotated as you suggest at the end of the 5 years it would be a free for all anyway.
I think you missed the whole purpose on this method. The idea is to get the Upper House seats arranged in a way, that ONLY 2 Upper House seats are up for election every year, one from the north and one from the south so not to dilute the TC electorates in the north if you had all 5 seats running all at the same time, once every 5 years. The initial election of 5 TC Upper House MP's was for ONLY one time, so to straddle the MP's, therefore, the elected MP's would know ahead of time, that depending on the number of votes they received, they would be numbered from 1-5 to take their places, in order to get the system going. If you don't like the votes received to place them into 1-5 places, them they can just draw a numbers from 1-5 from a hat or just draw the high card from a deck of cards. The purpose is to give the TC's an advantage, that it is better to have only one seat open for the Upper house once a year, then 5 seats once every 5 years, because if you did that, that with a GC population of 20-50% in the north, they might be able to get an upper house seat, if all the GC's were to collude with each other to try and elect at least one GC into the Upper House. With only one seat open and the TC's are the overwhelming majority in the north state, then you are guaranteed to have an all TC MP's in the north, UNLESS, the TC's will choose to vote for a GC rather than a TC, in which case, you should blame the TC's and not me if they lose a Upper House seat, just because they are willing to cross ethnic lines and vote for the better candidate than someone just because they are a TC.
At best this plan is putting off the inevitable for 5 years which is opening the door for GCs to consciously move and superficially register their residency in the north state to manipulate and win the 1 seat they require. If we allow that each representative will not be voted for by the whole state as regional representation is more the norm the numbers they would require would be even less than orginally required, given freedom of movement and voting from abroad it would not be long before we would be back to square one and GCs would have what they have always wanted the whole island with us always coming second.
5 years, 10 years, 20 years, for ever, who knows. The point is, we are faced with EU laws and no matter how you slice it, a settlement needs to based on EU's democratic values, so we need to find the best possible method for the TC's and the GC's to live in a Democratic Cyprus.
One cannot just have an address in the north if they do not live there, in order to be able to vote if they live abroad or in the south state. After first 5 years of transitional period has passed, then of course anyone wishes to live in the north state will be able to do so, and after establishing residence, they will be able to vote. There can be rules set, where one needs to be living and voting in a given state for 3 years before they will become eligible to vote by mail from abroad if they no longer live in that state. If they just move to the other state, they will then need to register to vote in their new state and can no longer vote in their old state. Cyprus is a small place, therefore it will be very easy to monitor where people live, work, kids go to school and so on, so that one will not be able to vote in a state they do not live in, or be able to vote more than once for the same election. These are just details that can be worked out.
With the reduction in land to 20% and the risks you put in our path imo the majority of TCs would want to go it alone, dont foget the incentive of 29% is so as to form a union with hostile GCs looking for ways to get us to jump into a deal that would make us lose everything in the long run, you appear to one of those people.
As far I'm concerned, under a True Federation and True Democracy, the state lines can remain as they are at 63%-37%, as long as you understand, that this will allow 180,000 GC's to return to live with you from day one, which they will be more than the True TC's number at 120,000 at the present time, but this is not what you want for obvious reasons. Then you talk about at 71%-29% which then allows 90,000 GC's to return, which makes the True TC's a majority by about 30,000, which again, this is not what you want. Going to 80%-20%, this will only leave few thousand in the north state versus an overwhelming majority TC's. Once the TC's establish themselves as the majority in the north state without any pressure during the transitional period of the first 5 years, they will be holding most of the political positions if not all of them. In the mean time, most of the remaining GC refugees have returned to their land to be part of the south state. Now, add to the 120,000 True TC's another 50,000 settlers to be given Cypriot citizenships along with some TC's relocating from abroad, you will have close to 200,000 TC's in the north state of 20%. In order to pose any problems by the GC's to the TC's in regards to losing political seats in the north, the GC's will need to bring over 150,000 new GC residence. Where will all these people come from.?? As I’ve said before, the TC's will increase their numbers through birth much faster than the GC's will, therefore, the north state's numbers will grow as a majority TC's no matter.!
If the upper house seats are guaranteed then we maybe closer to an agreement otherwise forget it, your plan has been rejected by me.
In a Democracy, you cannot guarantee any political positions. They need to be voted on democratically. Is this not the same in the north right now.? The only thing is guaranteed in a Democracy, are your constitutional rights in every aspect. What you are asking for is entitlement just because you are a TC. Sorry, it will not happen, because if that was the case, then every group will want something as an entitlement. Would you be happy if all short people got twice the salary as people taller than them doing the same work, just so that they can feel equal to taller people.? The reason why you reject anything that is democratic, is because you are afraid to make it on your own. You want things to be given to you so that you do need to lift a finger to earn it. You want "political welfare system" and not Democracy.
Political ideology is a long way off and needs to develop with trust and understanding and not by setting traps that will not guarantee our effective input in our own future but push us off the cliff into minority status living under revenge seeking GCs. What are you so afraid of TCs will always support laws and measure taken that will benefit a united Cyprus why not guarantee their input, look at it as an auto control that will not allow GCs who are well known experts at manipulating rules in their favour and to the detrement of others to gain what they have always made their ultimate goal domination and control fo the whole island.
Political ideology will develop in time. In fact, much quicker than you can imagine, only IF and WHEN a settlement is based on True Democracy where everyone's Democratic and Human Rights are respected. This is the only way to build trust. You do not build trust by violating other rights while you are enjoying yours. This creates mistrust and hate, therefore, you have got to start the settlement based on good principles and not hope that trust can be built in the future.
The TC's will always have an input in what goes on in Cyprus. The question is, how best to do it democratically, and I have given you one way of doing it. All you have to do, is to protect those 5 seats in the Upper House through democratic way, and to do that, I have given you 5 years to set up a system to be advantages to the TC's in the north state. All you need to do to capitalize on this system and be a willing compromising participant in this settlement, is to return most of the land that belongs to the 180,000 GC refugees and accommodate the remaining few thousand GC refugees to live on their own land that will be in the north state with their Democratic and Human Rights respected and protected by the TC's. This is how you can help built trust so that future politics are not based along ethnic lines which on the long run is very destructive, but politics based on political ideology, which will then would not make any difference where anyone lives in Cyprus.
We have been through this many times, but the reason why you cannot have guaranteed representation only by the TC's in the Upper House, is because it is not Democratic and that you would be violating others rights who are not a TC and are living with you in the north state. Those 5 seats are given to each state on equal basis and not to the TC's in the north and to the GC's in the south. However, through default, that's the way it will be anyway, only because of the majority of each community in their respective states, but as in all politics, no one is guaranteed an office. You will need to get voted in by the people. This is not a right that the TC's or the GC's must be given these seats in the Upper or the Lower Houses or any other political office for that matter. By agreeing to have a GC and a TC President/vice President is already stretching the democratic selection system. But since I'm using the US model, it allows for the President and the vice President to come from different states, therefore the two cannot come from the same state.
But to answer your question in another way, I'm against such as what you want, because with such arrangement
a) You will not be incline to give enough land back to the GC refugees
b) You can hand pick whom ever you want to serve in the upper house which will lead to cronyism and corruption.
c) Democratic rights of all those living in the north state will be violated, including the TC's.
d) It will be contrary to the system they will have in the south, therefore it will not work.
It will be contrary to all the constitutional rights given to all citizens in Cyprus
e) It will create resentment from one community to the other within the state
f) Some citizens will be disenfranchised by not being able to vote in some offices, which they will be paying taxes without representation within that state.
g) You will be able to resort to mass walkout from the government if you don't get what you want. This cannot be allowed to happen. By each senator having been voted in, they would have a duty to their constituents to act in their best interest and not follow some "ringleader" who has other ambitions by disrupting the government.
The list goes on really and I do not want to bore you with all the violations that will incur by asking for such guarantees.
Settlement can only happen in Cyprus if it's going to be Democratic and respecting everyone's Human Rights. The EU will not have it any other way, so get use to it, or else, you will get very much for your community at much later stage as Turkey will get desperate to join the EU. Play smart now and get the maximum you can now. No body said True Democracy was easy or fair at times, but it does also not mean the "kiss of death" when things don't go your way. Democratic politics landscape is much like the shifting Sand Dunes. It is constantly changing. Once decisions in Cyprus are based on political ideology and not on ethnic lines, you will sleep much better, I'm sure of it, and the only way to get to that stage, is to start with respecting Democratic and Human Rights from the beginning.
1000s of worldwide experts = AP vs Kikapu = KP, hardly a match for claiming theres was not democratic and your is, people are not stupid. (plus I dont trust you at all).
And the end result by such so called experts was to produce a Racist and Undemocratic so called "peace" plan. Have they got no shame, that it took them over 5 years to come up with such a plan. If they gave me the fraction of all the monies all these so called 1,000's of experts who worked on the Annan Plan, I could have made another plan that would have been 10 times worse than the AP, and the result still would have been an "OXI" (NO) from the GC's and 100% "EVET" (YES) from the TC's. Even Denktash would have voted YES, so lets not praise these so called experts who worked on the AP. They made a damn good living by producing something that was guaranteed to get a "OXI" vote from the GC's, so what was it that it was so great in what they actually did.?
Are you Obama or one of his advisors? you know jack shit about what he supports and after your rantings prior to his election and the doom and gloom you predicted for Turkey no one will take you seriously on that score and what you think he stands for. You have given us a death trap and expect us to swallow it all in the name of democracy just because this guy who contributes to CF nick named Kikapu say so, please dont over estimate your half baked drivel, some may swallow it but not those who can see right through you and what you stand for.
Obama should be so lucky to have me on his team, but if he wants me, he can track me down, I'm sure of it.!
Actually, Obama does not need me, because he is a lawyer and a professor of constitutional studies, as well as everyone that works for him respects Democracy, Human Rights and International Laws. The person I can best serve would be Talat since it appears that he does not have anyone on his team who values the above , so if Talat needs a helping hand, I'll be glad to help him in this area.
My predictions on Turkey-USA relationship is spot on. There is no "new" USA-Turkey relationship, specially if Turkey does not play ball with what the USA expects from Turkey, and Obama told the Turks in their own house only few weeks ago and already the short lived "honeymoon" is over for now. Turkey need to watch where she steps, and it better not be on EU's or USA's "toes".!
The principle is important here, its the Gcs who claim we only have a right to 18% of the land..I am willing to leave this to independent experts to evlauate all claims and accept the outcome are you?
The 18% is based on the TC population numbers based from 1960 and the amount of personal ownership by the TC's and their percentage of the state land. Understand something, this 18% is to form a state within a True Federation and is not granted for you to form another country with it. When you bought your land in Cyprus, that’s all you bought. You did not buy the country, or else, every Tom, Dick and Mary will want to turn their own house and garden into a sovereign independent country downtown Nicosia to be able to sign international treaties with anyone they wish with. Sorry, it does not work this way.!
As for the EU you know my opinion on that its over rated.
Only a fool can make such a statement, given the ruling that just came down from the ECJ over the Orams. You may disagree with the EU on many fronts because of their decision makings that has been favouring the RoC, a fellow EU member over the "trnc" which is not recognised, but it is very immature of you to say that the EU is over rated in your opinion.!
If its that or your plan Ill take our own country in the north...even the current status quo is better then the camaflouged capitulation you are trying to sell us, the last attempt to amend the flaw in your plan flaw is just an idiotic attempt to push us into a danger zone only difference is a delay in the inevitable.
Well, you don't really have a "country" in the north, but lets not dwell on that right now. Nothing about my plan is a "camouflaged capitulation", since it is all in the open, that even the most simpleton can understand it, but it does require the TC's to help make it work, by either most TC's living in the new state, or, take far less land than 20% if large amount of the TC community does not want to live in the new state. This is your job to make it work. Don't expect everything to be given to you on a silver platter in everything that you want. You need to work for it.
You not trusting me is not a valid excuse to dismiss this plan, just because I do not agree with your ideology, but it does not mean I do not have the TC's best interest at heart as well as best interest of all Cypriots as well as Cyprus. You are faced with a BBF based on Federation as well as to be Democratic and respecting Human Rights, which the EU will make sure of, therefore, your options are limited on how far you can deviate from the above requirements. The days of Annan Plan are over and it is best you look forward in building a country with your fellow countrymen that will benefit your children than looking back at the AP and wishing that it will return. It is not going to happen and that is the reality.