by MicAtCyp » Sun May 09, 2004 11:21 am
Metecyp,
You said "That means they accept the principles of Anann plan and they don't consider the plan to be against their laws and principles."
I say No, this is not what they said.They said whatever we agree they will accept it. However they did not sign any guarantee for that.The Anan Plan had derrogations extending upto 19 years.The maximum they accept is 15 years.The whole philosophy of the Anan Plan is against the EU Aquis.They said they will accept it if both sides say "yes".That would be the Aquis for cyprus. Turkey was afraid that finally all doors would be open for overthrowing the Anan Plan since the EU Aquis would be above that of Cyprus..So she asked that the Anan Plan contains a clause that the EU will adopt its Primary law (its own Aquis)to be as per Anan Plan.I can assure you the EU Council has not such authority to approve such a thing and this had to go through the 25 parliaments of ALL members where it had ZERO chance to pass.The result would be that the new United Cyprus would eventually be on the air-half of it in, and half of it out of the EU.The Generals in Turkey would insist on the Primary law, and eventually the EU itself would be forced to throw the UC out…..Remember the law with which Cyprus was accepted was the CR law and not the law of the Anan Plan.It took more than 4 years intensive negotiations to adapt that law to the EU!
Now you expect me to describe you how EU will solve the Cyprus problem in a long term procedure that might take upto 30 years…. Anyway I will help you as much as I can, at least to enable you make a start in this direction. You must remember that the EU is not a military Union (Nato) is not the UN either. The power of the EU is the MONEY. The EU works like this.Either you acccept my law and you earn money or you remain isolated and you starve.Whats the EU doing now?It will give money to the TCs and will open them all doors to start earning money.Exports of agricultural products, industrial products etc, free movement of EU tourists.These first steps are on their way ALREADY and the TCs will start making money.Second step.The GCs will start sueing the EU because it accepts products from stolen gardens, they will sue the travel agents of the EU for bringing tourists at stolen hotels.Third step.The EU will force private agreements between the owners of the gardens and hotels with those who use them.The initial agreement will be on "a rent basis".The same thing will happen to those who use the TC properties in the free areas. I leave the rest to your ability to predict….
About Turkey joining the EU.I don't know what Piratis said, as I am new in this forum.Here is my opinion.
I think Turkey will NEVER become a full member of the EU. The main reason is because Turkey is such a big Country (70 million today 80-85 in 15 years.It will surpass Germany in population by then.If she joins she becomes the first political power due to its size.This cannot be because turkey does not have an equal economic power and most propably never will.So the big guys in the EU i.e Germany, UK, France etc will never accept such a situation.
On the other hand, Turkey being completely outside the EU would be catastrophic for both Turkey and the EU.
Turkey is very unstable and disoriented. She needs something more than the usual alliances of convenience. The number of Europe's problems, from inviding Turkey in , would be multiplied tenfold when they keep Turkey out. The Turkish economy will totally collapse. Trafficking of people and drugs to Europe through Turkey will flourish. War and terrorism will also be a way out, for them.
So the only solution out of this, is finally to give Turkey a date to start negotiations.These negotiations will last for ever, Turkey knows it EU knows it. It will be their little secret. Does the "special relation" being whispered already in the EU ring a bell to you?But so what? Turkey will benefit the maximum possible from the EU, have no real problems in trading with EU etc. In the end I think Turkey will become a lifetime affiliate Country, with all the benefits this means. But to achieve even that she must become a true Democratic Country, proceed to reforms etc and OF COURSE SOLVE THE CYPRUS PROBLEM and her problems with Greece in the Aegean. The soonest, the better for her the better for everyone else.
PS. As a Cypriot I think to be "an affiliate Country" is much better than be a full member in the EU. You have full control of your Country, chose only the EU regulations you like-most of them are stupid regulations that just serve some monopolies-you pay nothing to the EU, and you are as European as you like. There is a little problem with Trading on equal basis but that goes away by the years.