Why would Turkey would leave the island, if there were a legal partition Andros.?? Surely, the reverse would happen, since their presence would be legitimized by the TC's in the north by not being able to say NO to Turkey.
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If one of the conditions of partition- if supported by the E.U- were Turkey's leaving the island following a mutual agreement of both TCs and GCs, under the penalty of drawing severe economic sanctions from E.U in case of a breach, then she would leave. Remains the issue of TCs saying NO to Turkey which is the core of the problem. This will be up to EU' s capability of forcing/negotiating with Turkey to take her hands off the north.
.If the north was also in the EU, then Turkey would pull the strings in the EU trough the north to bring the EU to a standstill, unless Turkey is admitted into the EU
The commitment of the EU to accept the north should be conditional of Turkey's leaving the island and relinquishing her guarantorship power to the EU. Once it is accepted, the EU will see to that any referandum about partition or not should be done under her supervision.
Then once Turkey is in the EU, then they can now legally flood into the south, something which you have shown some concerns in your above post. In order for the latter not becoming a reality, the north cannot be in the EU as a seperate state, but only under a True Federation in the new RoC. I do not believe, the EU will ever permit the "trnc" to become a sovereign state in the EU, because rather than admitting 100,000 True TC's into the Union, that number will become 80 million Fake TC's by giving duel citizenship's to all the Turks in Turkey, and you are back to square one again, as far as having your fears of the Turks flooding the south.. Be careful what you ask for when you ask for legal partition, because you may not like the results that may come with it, because the only way the north will agree to a legal partition, even if it meant giving substantial land back, that they should be allowed to become a full EU member.
[/quote]Again, the EU will not allow the north into the EU for the reasons I have given above, therefore the TC's will not ask for a legal partition, because there will be absolute no benefit for them at all, to do so. The TC's can serve Turkey much better by being on the "inside" of the RoC and not outside. Why do think the Annan Plan is always brought up by the Talat to be accepted as a means for a "solution" and not the True Federation. True Federation will only server the purpose for the TC's but not for Turkey, hence the reason why it is being rejected by puppet Talat. There is absolutely nothing wrong with accepting True Federation for the TC's to live in a Democratic country, but this will not serve the interest of Turkey, because it will leave them outside the EU's inner circles without any influence. An EU member "trnc" will be the Trojan Horse" for Turkey in the EU. Somehow, that element of surprised has already been done and that the EU will not fall for it by allowing 100,000 harmless TC's into the Union.!! The concerns will be, what will come after the "trnc" is in the EU
Very good analysis, Kikapu. As I said in my other post, partition is not my first choice, but if it comes to that point, the issue should be to minimize Turkey's involvement following and during partition.
I wonder, whether the north could come up with a third -party guarantor that would act on its behalf ? Such as.........??????? Suspense
