Viewpoint wrote:Kikapu I have to start by thanking you for your positive change in attitude and acknowledging possible dangers TCs will face in the BBF you promote. I really appreciate your change and will try to respond in fashion it warrants.
Well, the "dangers" that I see that is a concern to you is, if we have a True Federation and anyone can live where ever they want, even if it means the whole 200,000 displaced GC's moving back to their homes, then the threat will be that you will not have a majority in the North, but more like a a 50-50 basis.
I also believe everyone should be able to travel and settle where ever they wish so this does not vere from what you are saying.
The reason why I put "dangers" in quotation marks was, because I was under the impression, that once we agree on a True Federal system under a "new country", that we are once again all Cypriots and did not matter where everyone lived. But I see that you still want to keep those ethnic lines very clear. The truth of the matter is, despite the GC's getting their properties back, they will not be moving to the North in great numbers. I would be very surprised if more than 50,00 would move to the North.
This for us is a real danger especially in the early stages as there is no trust between the communities but allowing everyone to move and settle freely should not restricted by there being 2 states one administered by TCs and the other by GCs, people will then be allowed the freedom to choose which state they would rather reside in. I think initally GCs may not want to reside in the north state but over time they will see the administartion will not be much different from the south and as trust increases they to will move north.
There are of course ways to reduce this problem, and that is, that if the TC's wants to remain absolute majority for almost for ever in a state in the north, then they will have to reduce the amount of land that they are holding now to be one of the 2 states. TC's can arrange to have "their" state in an area which was mostly TC's before 1974 and expand from there to the amount of land that they think they have collectively with land in the south and in the north, and draw "their" state lines that way. The size may be close to what most believe to be around 20%, but in order to make sure the state is big enough to live and work, it should be negotiated to take a little bit more than 20%, specially if there are willing GC sellers of their land to the new "TC" state. This way, you will have the least number of GC's in "your" state, that will be a factor in electing officials. The bigger the land area, more the chance of more GC's being in it, who will also have the right to vote for any elected official.
Thank you for at least trying to address our concerns by restricting land apportioned to the north state but what difference will it make if we are free to live where we wish? The problem some people will face is accepting that the administration body in the state you choose will be of different etnic origin. Another problem would be the officals elected but on a small island like ours it can be done proportionally and regional or in groups with GCs and TCs.
I guess I want to believe that once we have a "new country", that we do not see ourselves as GC's and TC's, but Cypriots first. An island with a variety of what we can all bring together for a lasting future where the tourist find themselves in paradise with such rich cultures. It will be a win win for all Cypriots. After a long period of time, if we were able to achieve this cohesiveness between the ethnic groups, I believe, we can become another Switzerland, where they are Swiss first then their ethnicity, where there are no majority and minority, even though numerically speaking, one cannot change the fact, that minority and majority will always exist, but by no means be the cause to take away anyone's rights away. The Swiss have done it for over 900 years. I believe they have proven beyond any doubt that it can work. For Cyprus, we can follow in their foot steps. Better late than never
This ideology will take many years but is not impossible trust and cooperation is the key of which we have zero at the current time. We have to start somewhere and when we address the concerns of both sides a BBF solution with 2 equal states is he bestway forward where ther will be no doors left open for one community to dominate or push the other one to one side as was the problem in the past.
VP,
I must apologize again for not getting back to you earlier. I had a very bad case of Internet Service provider problems. It was on and off with the service, so could not do very much posting on the forum.
By the way, you have just reached your years allocation of apologies from me, 3 in total in the last 2 weeks. !!!
Thank you for your nice remarks. If you have ever read
my plan for Cyprus from the past, you would have seen my fair side towards the TC's, so that they are represented and also are able to live in peace and prosperity.
I'll respond to your post as a "package" and not segmented to pieces. I was talking on the basis of a True Federation, but I believe you are still talking about the BBF which is a Confederation. This is the gab that the TC's and the GC's will need to narrow to find a solution. That was the reason as to why the GC's said no to the 2004 AP, because the whole plan was a "Federation" based on Swiss style of government and the "Virgin Birth" concept of two "new" states. If that is the concept you want to stick by, then I will have to say, that the GC's will not agree to give the TC's more than 20% of the North to form their own pure Turkish Cypriot state. I don't even think they will even agree to a "Virgin Birth" to form a pure TC and a GC states in a Confederation. That would mean getting rid off the RoC and everything that goes with it, so just to have a Northern state ruled by the TC's and share everything from the island with Turkey looking over their shoulders all the time. If that were to be the case and push came to shove, the GC's will tell the TC's to take the 20% and do what ever they wanted with it, then seal the border between the North and the EU member nation. I have personally lived in the States under a Federation System and a now live in Switzerland under a Confederation system, and quite honestly, as an individual, I have not notice much difference. The problem in Cyprus is, True Federation is possible attain where as, Confederation physically is not and also unacceptable to the majority of Cypriots, if done by force, as the case is right now. If they do not want it now, I can't see them wanting it later.
On the other hand, if we were to go the True Federation way, as far as I'm concerned, the "borders" on the present North and South can stay as they are. What does it mater. But with that, you will have more chance of more GC's moving back to their land, which if all did that, then you are going to have 50-50 TC's and GC's. I do not see this as a "danger" VP. All those living in the North, will still run their own state, the only difference is, you will also have GC's working with you in the state government, since they will also be elected from the areas that they live and represent. The more people living in the North, the north state will also benefits such as greater economy, taxes, service industry, imports exports and so on. The population will be on a equal par with those living in the South. You cannot build a great state, without people. What better way than doing it with those who are also from the island. Having said all this, and still maintain that the present lines can remain in a True Federation, you will find, that the most GC's will not be moving back, if ever, They will be coming and going to do business and work their land, but the majority will be TC's for many years to come, and if all goes well after a while, trust me, you will want people to move to your Northern State, because that creates growth and wealth.
Just to give you an example. If you take the USA with it's 300 Million population and Australia's 25 Million population, who's country's mass is almost equal in size, we all know which one of the two has the wealth and developed the land from East to West and North to South. I know what you are thinking, which is, "well, we already have a lot of people here from Turkey, so let them stay so that we can have this large population that you are talking about, and at the same time, more of a chance to be all "Turkish" state, even under a True Federation". Well, your logic would definitely will make sense, but in reality, it is not going to happen. Some will be able to stay, but the most will need to go back. If on the other hand the TC's would want to negotiate a 20% of Northern Cyprus for a complete break from the RoC, then you have solved your own problem as far as the settlers goes.
In the end VP, there can be a solution, which will require compromises from all the parties, but there will be lines drawn in the sand, that Cyprus being in the EU, there are certain things that the TC's will need to accept, no matter how hard it may be to swallow if they also want to be part of the EU. The EU will not make exceptions to have one of it's members to be undemocratic. If on the other hand the TC's want to partition and be their own
"Effendi" as our friend Halil would say, then take the 20% and run. Even that may not be offered by the RoC.