IHSAN DAGI [email protected] Columnists
We are faced with a situation in Cyprus that we are not at all familiar with. The Turkish side is at ease; they are standing on ground that is morally and politically astute.
The international community has started listening to the Turkish theses far more attentively than before, appreciating that what comes from the Turkish side is a proposal and determination to resolve the problem, not obstinacy that begets deadlock. And the Greek side is panicking for the first time in years.
They are becoming more aware that the initiative is slipping from their hands and are realizing that they are also becoming isolated in their stance against the Turkish side, which favors negotiating and uniting.
Let's give Caesar what is Caesar's. This process began in 2002 with the constructive and conciliatory attitude adopted by the Ankara government upon the disclosure of the first solution package by Kofi Annan, the UN secretary-general at the time. The stance of the Turkish Cypriots became clear when about 65 percent of them gave their support to the Annan plan in the referendum on April 24, 2004.
But let's not forget under what sort of conditions this referendum was introduced. Those who considered and then supported the Annan plan were accused of "selling the homeland." Some people even plotted coups in the atmosphere of nationalist fervor, and the hawks of Cyprus had been awaiting news of a coup or a military ultimatum while holding talks in Washington.
Those who had viewed the Turkish Cypriots' determination to resolve the issue as treason up until yesterday will not be happy today to see Turkey holding a trump card on the issue. (Another question arises here: don't they always view the preferences of the Turkish nation as such?) They wanted Cyprus to forever remain a problem that they could use to incite the nationalist feelings of the nation, thereby perpetuating a militarist administration in Ankara forever.
But how long could they continue? Those who attempted to block a solution for their own personal interests and political careers are being purged nowadays. The intransigent parties lobbying for the impasse to persist are losing ground in Turkey, in the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (KKTC) and now in southern Cyprus; and they will be losing in the future.
Let's remember, pessimism prevailed following the referendum in 2004. The European Union had not kept its promise to lift the isolation on northern Cyprus; what's more, it froze eight negotiation chapters, stating that Turkey should open its air and seaports to southern Cyprus as a requirement of the customs union. It seemed at the time that the situation was not only preventing a solution in Cyprus, but also straining Turkey-EU relations.
However, the Turkish Cypriots, having sincerely asserted their willingness to resolve the problem, changed the atmosphere. The Greek side in brazenly pursuing an policy adamantly against any solution -- while enjoying its EU membership -- created great antipathy. With the Greek side's indifference to the Turks who favored resolving the problem, the opinion that the Turkish Cypriots on the island should determine their own destiny became more prevalent. This opinion would only grow stronger.
Papadopoulos's unexpected elimination in the presidential race might mark the beginning of a new era. Now it's time take the initiative. Turkey should choose the strategy of "being two steps ahead," instead of only one. We can pressure the Greek side for a solution. The first step that should be taken in this direction is to sign the agreement that expands the customs union. In doing so, we will have given the EU process a fresh breath, while helping the eight frozen chapters to be reopened.
The time is perfect for taking such an initiative, particularly now that Turkey's willingness to become a full member has been emphasized in the new Accession Partnership Document. There is no point in the Justice and Development Party (AK Party) further delaying the approval process, fearing nationalist reactions. Just the opposite, Prime Minister Erdoğan, who has been established as the "most nationalist" leader by recent surveys, has a strong position whereby he can placate the nationalists. Therefore, it's high time that President Abdullah Gül started a comprehensive tour of Europe in addition to his Africa, Central Asia and Middle East visits.
23.02.2008