Conditions:
1. The Cyprus problem cannot be solved, unless Turkey joins the EU.
2. Turkey cannot join the EU, unless she accepts to provide minority rights to all her citizens.
Logical argument:
Minority rights in Turkey will never be provided, in the form they are demanded in Cyprus, therefore Turkey will never join the EU.
Conclusions:
1. The Cyprus Problem will never be solved.
2. The TCs will never become part of the EU.
In reality the rest of the problem is more critical. Realizing that they would not be able to gain recognition via the “protocol” the Greek Cypriots would renew their demand for recognition at the first chance, resorting to the veto threat. That could happen in June 2005, that is, during the time the EU would be shaping the “framework of negotiations” with Turkey. As Barroso has told the Turkish prime minister, if the talks were to begin together with the “screening,” then the Greek Cypriots would still have a chance to exercise their veto. If, by then, the embargoes on the Turkish side remained intact, then the Greek Cypriots would be able to cast aside Annan's plan altogether.
The developments in Cyprus are equally important. Mr. Talat says that if he gets elected KKTC president, he will initiate fresh talks on Annan's plan. Serdar Denktas shares that view. From the Turkish Cypriots' standpoint, that would amount to fall back further from the latest version of the plan in order to meet the Greek Cypriots' never-ending demands. Let us assume for a moment that such a “solution” would indeed be reached. Even in that case the Turkish Cypriots could not enter the EU before Turkey's EU membership is secured. This is because that would be contrary to the Guaranty Treaty. The AKP government, which is already losing ground politically, would not be able to persuade the Turkish public to accept that.
Meanwhile, the new version of the Accession Partnership Document has been postponed from April to November. The aim must be to prevent strong public opinion reaction to the document in question since it would contain the minority rights Turkey would be pressured into accepting at a time when it is grappling with the Cyprus problem.
http://www.turkishdailynews.com.tr/arti ... ewsid=8504