Thanks Alex for your analytical reply, you are right to most of the points you raised. Reading your posts I think we in here discuss on superficial matters rather than real, and this makes our perceptions totally wrong and our discussions a waste of time most of the times. I agree many of our discussions are on extreme positions too, but at least as far as I am concerned I do it on purpose... Anyway I will herebelow reply to some points I think need further discussion.
Alexandros wrote: Having said that, there are some ways in which the plan can be improved for the TCs, which in no way affect GC interests - for instance, economic convergence, the economic health of the TCCS - so I wouldn't agree that any give and take will inevitably lead to the same denominator.
Don't forget this is the way we tried to negotiate last March and we ended up having the 11 bombs on top of everything. For such a procedure to succeed you need 100% the full understanding anfd cooperation of the other side. Unfortunately the other side is not thinking like that. They are thinking in the classic way of negotiating to get us much as you can. Even De Soto though that way, by balancing our neutral requests with one of the "classic" demands of the other side.
I also find some problems with the BBF model, especially the fact that each person will end up having three identities (Cypriot, Constituent State, Ethnic) in order to make it work.
This is one of the most minor problems I see in a BBF system. The serious problems I see are
a)There must be a substantial loss of land and properties by the GCs in favour of TCs and settlers on exchange of nothing.
b)There must be a system with borders and checkpoints to constantly monitor who is living/staying on the TCCS. It leads to 2 separate States!
c)There must be long deprivation of basic human rights of GCs in major fields like property ownership and enjoying, travel, setting bussiness(=getting back their share from the development they are paying for) etc etc
Capital ownership is not to be equated with land ownership, because not all land has the same capital value. The real question is, who will own the factories and the hotels and the office space and the shopping malls in the TCCS, and most of that can remain under TC control without compromising the average GC's property rights.
I agree, but don't forget the majority of the GC refugees and TCs are not "real capital " owners. In the end of the day the majority of the voters will be of that "little capital" people and will have to look at the solution with their own sight glasses. You sound optimistic, but on the other hand it remains to be seen how this compromising will affect the average person.What i can certainly quarantee is that any agreement that directly refers to losing property has zero chance to pass, whereas disguised losing will be revealed soon and cause even more negative reaction. The agreement on the property issue must be as crystal clear as possible, and must be on exhange of equal to equal plus full return of the rest. And if this will require the TCCS to be smaller it should get smaller.The absolute figure is not bigger than 18% no matter how many GCs will return to that 18% and how many TCs (existing and expats) will return or stay to the CSCS
What perhaps we can insist on in negotiations, is that the constitution of the BBF should be seen as transitional, and that 15 or 20 years later a Constitutional Assembly should be called in order to inquire whther we are ready to evolve the state into a Unitary system of governance
I fully agree. That would influence possitively many GCs who wonder between a yes and a no..On the other hand how will it be taken by the TCs given their past experience for the 13 points and taking away their "earned" rights away? In my opinion the TCs want a solution that will be valid for eternity no matter how bad that would be for the GCs.
I remember prior to the referendum many moderate TC politicians were telling us, take the Anan Plan, don't miss this chance, and after we get rid of Turkey we will arrange everything between ourselves. Well if all the TCs were like them we shouldn’t hesidate, but are they? Don't forget we have the Eroglus and the Denktashes who are almost 50% we have the grey wolves and all sorts of ultra nationalists, that in the end will allow nothing to change. Besides don't forget that even the worst systems finally get embeded because they themselves in depth of time create embeded interests.
Actually I suggested RoC authorised direct trade only, in response to the return of Varosha - flights from Ercan were Turkcyp's suggestion.
Woops yes you are right, I apologise for that. I guess I mixed up your position with that of Turkcyp.
Alex can you elabotate on the "EU-carrot" regarding the TCs? I mean to most of them it only means direct flights and some economic aid. On the other hand they object the EU aquis as they consider it contrary to their interests. Is there anything I miss?