This was a really good topic, which again has quickly descended into farce and offence. Now there's a surprise !
I have said for a long time that the end game is being played out in Cyprus. Either both communities will agree to re-unify or divorce will be permanent. Let's look at the distinct possibility of divorce. I have it, on very good authority, that in the event of a failed negotiated settlement, a referendum will take place in the TRNC about her future status. Now I know that there are many GC's on this site who go on about 'pseudo state', 'occupied areas' etc, etc but for the Turkish Cypriot community the TRNC exists and as such I will refer to the North as the TRNC. I think that, as the few posts on this topic have shown that the majority of GC's are unable to come to terms with the fact that recognition is a distinct possibility. There is never such a thing as 'never'. As a TC I note that GC's are so convinced by their own status of 'legality' that they are blind to the car crash that awaits them in the event of a failed negotiation. Whether the GC community likes it or not, Kosovo has set a precedent. President Christofias and President Talat know this. Why else has Christofias come running to the negotiating table ? It is also telling that a recent poll in the TRNC was conducted in which just over 50% of respondents stated that they wanted recognition now. This will inevitably increase in the event of a failed negotiation and will be confirmed by a referendum insisting on recognition. Individual EU states are allowed to recognise other states, there is no blanket EU refusal, as the case of Kosovo has shown. It is telling of course that EU member states, Greece and 'Cyprus' have refused to recognise Kosovo. I can see the same scenario with the TRNC. There will be numerous states both inside and outside of the EU block who will recognise the TRNC and then we will all enter a whole new ball game. Indeed I foresee a day when the TRNC will apply to join the EU.
The GC's have to acknowledge that the TC community feels shafted in various ways and are now at the end of their tether. Cyprus became a burden for the EU once the unilateral application to join was made and accepted and was compounded by the Greek Cypriot's decision to reject the re-unification of Cyprus in 2004. Any potential settlement for the GC community will be possibly worse than any previous plan and the inevitable recognition of the TRNC will be the ultimate disaster for that community. However the recognition of the TRNC opens up the eventual long term possibility of a confederation of two independent Cypriot states, in the unlikely event of Turkey joining the EU. Mark my words, the above scenario is likely to happen unless their is an agreement to re-unify. You can have progress without recognition but recognition without progress.
'Remove your life jacket and everything will be allright.'