antonis wrote:So here's a question to everyone.
Do you think that the 23rd of April 2003 could be the day in which Cyprus was reunited by its own people, just like it happened in Germany?
Was that a missed opportunity? If so, what went wrong - what did we do wrong - and the wall didn't fall, but just cracked?
And most importantly, would it have happened in a peaceful manner?
It's a good question Antonis, and one that hasn't really been asked on here much.
Personally, I think it was a missed opportunity but it also differed from the German model in a number of key aspects:
1. In Germany, the East German authorities completely lost control of the frontier in Berlin. The numbers of people swarming to the wall offered two options - either open the wall and let them flood through, or begin shooting, thankfully they chose the first option. In Cyprus (quite bizarrely when you contrast the national character stereotype with those of Germans!) was a more organised and planned affair. The Turkish Cypriot authorities were in control of the situation as it was their idea.
2. In contrast to the West German authorities, the GC government was lukewarm about the relaxation, largely I would surmise, because it was a TC initiative. In West Germany, East Germans were encouraged to cross the border and resettle (designed to rob the East German authorities of their brightest and best), rather than just visiting and going back. In comparison, although the same economic attractants existed for TCs, there was no active attempt by the GC authorities to encourage a mass migration.
3. Lastly, in the German example, the Soviet protector essentially wanted out by 1989. The Soviet Union under Gorbachev appreciated that if the Eastern Bloc countries decided to break away from their hold, there was little they could do to stop them, the USSR was bankrupt and a virtually spent force. In Turkey (the TRNC's 'protector' as it could be labelled), there isn't a similar parallel. Turkey doesn't want 'out'. It does appreciate that movement is required for its own future prospects within the EU, but there isn't a groundswell amongst the elite to rid itself of its vassals, as there was in the USSR. Thus, they are in a position and there is a willingness to continue to assist the TRNC financially and militarily.
Thus, I don't think there is a way that the Cypriot 'wall' could have come crashing down. I remember watching on TV as the Berlin Wall was overwhelmed in 1989 and seeing the rapturous way in which the people of East and West Germany met and interacted as they worked together to smash down sections of it. I was in Cyprus in April 2003 and don't recall there being that high level of euphoria. Although many thousands crossed on that first day, in my experience it was a happy, yet also cautious crossing.
The Cypriot wall is one that I think can only be demolished incrementally, I don't anticipate a 'peoples revolution' storming the wall working. If I remember rightly, a number of years ago, a large group of women broke into the Green Line and attempted to walk north in a march of peace. I recall that they were greeted with a TC riot squad who threatened violence unless they moved back. I'm sure if it had been in the opposite direction, it would have been greeted with similar suspicion by the GC authorities.
A popular movement can help break the wall, but only by breaking the barriers between the people first. Then the leaders in Cyprus will be forced to really listen.