MicAtCyp wrote:Who said I disagree with confidence - building? I disagree on the matter of seaports and airports. Being under the EU will not change a thing regarding the illegality of the place they are going to serve, the illegality of hosting tourists in stolen hotels, villas, etc the illgality of 120K settlers using stolen land to produce and export etc etc etc
I don't rembember if it is you or someone else who implied that being under EU control will legalise everything - whoever wrote it though, that was a foxy and misleading statement.
MicAtCyp, firstly to get it out of the way, I did not imply that EU control would 'legalise everything', I believe that was another poster.
The fact is that even without direct trade, tourists are now free (largely because the RoC cannot arrest EU citizens en masse) to fly into Larnaca, cross the Green Line and stay in the north for the duration of their holidays. Thus, flying into Ercan is no longer a prerequisite for a northern holiday. The longer this situation remains, the more I think that you'll see tour operators in the UK and elsewhere offering packages involving a transfer from Larnaca northwards.
As for the ports issue, yes it would aid the TCs economically, in the process making them more self-sufficient. But at the end of the day, exports from the north are going to be small beer, all estimates say that the only desirable exports would be citrus products (valued at about €50m a year), that's hardly an economic renaissance. The opposition of the GC authorities to these suggestions also serves to drive perceptions amongst EU partners and others that in reality it is an economic blockade of the north, designed to impoverish the population and blackmail it into submission - a form of 'economic apartheid by design' if you want. That may not be the reality of the situation, but the more vociferous the disagreement by GCs, the more it appears to others to be so.
MicAtCyp wrote:All the arguments you mentioned in support of why you don't buy this are questionable. The only argument which is not questionable is that the TCs simply want a solution for it's economic benefits. Go there ask them if you don't beleive. There is plenty of evidence in this forum too. Give them the economic benefits they now lack and kiss the solution goodbye. And there is no other way to force them to a solution other than that. They have the military power behind them, they have the land in their hands, these are their cards. Our only card is economic. If we throw that away we are finished simple as that. They know it, we know it, lets play fair.
Ultimately, they don't have all the cards. As others have rightly said, the RoC has numerous opportunities available to lead EU opinion on this matter. By assuming the upper hand and taking magnanimous steps towards the TCs, the RoC could become an opinion driver within the EU rather than a lonely voice shouting abuse from the sidelines.
I agree with you that we don't want the TRNC as a Mediterranean Taiwan, the way to avoid this is as follows. GC authorities should apply for the opening of the ports and airports in the north (under their recognised sovereignty, if anything this enhances the claim to the north rather than undermining it). This should be announced as a step to improve the conditions of the TC people and as a first step towards further integration between the two parts of the island. Such a step would show the willingness of the RoC to engage with the north and would do a great deal to improve the image of the RoC amongst the international community. If anything, it would also result in increased pressure upon Turkey and the TC authorities to return to the negotiating table.
As for EU involvement, I see this as necessary to not only ensure that the two sides co-operate and to report on any difficulties that arise, but also to assist with the training of officials, with the development of joint legislation to ensure compatibility with EU rules. The EU has access to expertise that would be to the benefit of both communities and it should be used.
The rights and wrongs of use of settled land, use of settler labour etc., the simple fact remains that in any solution, a large number of settlers will be given leave to remain permanently, therefore they will become Cypriot citizens with all the rights that this entails. Also, the likelihood is that much of the land they are currently working will remain under TC jurisdiction. Ultimately some of the tax revenue accruing from this will be returned to a federal administration and will thus benefit all. I know it's a hard pill to swallow and an extremely distasteful one for GCs, but partition is already solidified, probably the only political solution will involve a lessening of the de facto partition and establishment of a loose federation. Then the real efforts at finding a solution can begin with the reinteraction of the two societies.