bigOz wrote:Application to join EU was made and was in progress long time ago. Within all political parties in Turkey (as in many other countries) there are those who are now pro-EU, and those who are anti-EU. It would not help the internal relationsa of any government in power in Turkey to stop negotiating with EU or more imprtantly "withdraw" such an application.
It is also not in the best interest for international relationships with EU members - they obviously want to keep the level of current trading arrangements to remain (albeit EU exports a lot more into Turkey in terms of dollars, than imports from her!). The most important point is; if and when the time comes, the people would have to decide by going to a referendum, just like they did in many other countries who recently joined EU.
As things stand Turkey has lost the enthusism and the apetite to put pressure on anyone for an early EU membership - in fact, they sound very much like they wouldn't care less. That is the current political atmosphere reflected as they enter the election period...
Are you sure it is not because Turkey can't bear the idea of having to cave into EU demands to allow the RoC access to her ports and air space, so they are delaying as long as possible by giving the "we don't care attitude" so that EU may back away from it's demands for Turkey to allow the RoC all the rights shared by all EU members..
This is going to be a BIG pill for Turkey to swallow, and to a country they don't even recognise. I really don't think Turkish people would want to be left out of the EU, purely based on the Cyprus situation, referendum or not. They will trade Cyprus for the EU any day. Not the Military of course, but the citizens of Turkey. We will have to wait and see what are the world political circumstances at that time period.
Sitting government at the time will decide to have a referendum or not surely. If they think that the public opinion is against the EU entry, then they will not hold one and instead push it through the Government, assuming the Government wants Turkey in, and I believe they will want her in the EU.