by -mikkie2- » Wed Feb 09, 2005 1:06 am
My take on this is that the batton will be handed to the British in their EU term presidency in the 2nd half of the year.
In my mind there does not appear to be a legal means to bring about direct trade. This is down to the current UN resolutions which recognise the RoC as the legitimate government of the whole island and as such it is the sole entity responsible for ports in its territory.
The only way for direct trade to happen is for the UN to pass a resolution to effectively downgrade the status of the RoC. This quite frankly will work against all Cypriots. As boulio has rightly said, Russia will probably veto such a move and China, which herself is affected by the status of Taiwan, will veto as well. And then there is the French...
The end result will be egg on face for the British. If they are determined to do it, then Cyprus will simply go to the Europen Court of Justice. The EU cannot break its own rules at the end of the day because it will loose its credibility.
Turkey is obviously playing a big political game because it is doing everything it can to stop trade through the Green Line from working. For example, it stops Greek Cypriots from selling goods in the north by putting huge duties on products. Yet, the Turkish Cypriots are free to use all facilities provided by the state for free, it allows them to work, and it allows them to trade products without paying VAT.