Murataga wrote:Wow...... bunch of hyenas giving each other a good time I see.
Firstly, some facts about Turkey`s EU process ( for those suggesting that Turkey has been begging for 40 years). Turkey has been a European Union (then the EEC, European Economic Community) Associate Member since 1964. Formal application to join the European Community—the organization that has since developed into the European Union—was made on April 14th, 1987 but the decision to consider Turkey's application was deferred until 1993, because the European Community was in the process of becoming the European Union. She was officially recognized as a candidate for membership on December 12th, 1999 (technically 6 years after their application) at the Helsinki summit of the European Council. On 31 December 1995 the customs union between Turkey and the European Union came into effect. There are estimated to be close to 5 million Turks already living in Europe (almost half the population Greece) and I am not even going to start with cultural and social affiliations such as UEFA, scientific programs such as Erasmus and etc…. Last but not least, it is very important to highlight that there does not exist a country in the history of the EU accession process that has become a candidate and not made full EU member .
Have no worries about Turkey. If you read their history you’ll find out that the troubles you wish to reflect upon are an afternoon walk in the park for them. True there is some skepticism about Turkey`s EU membership process after Sarkozy`s election. I`m not going to go into detail on this. However, there are two facts that can not be disputed: (1) Sarkozy is the president not the immortal and everlasting King of France (2) The EU can not and will not afford to loose Turkey either as a member or not. Turkey, which has already achieved a cumulative growth rate of 35 percent in the last four years, will soon become the sixth largest economy of Europe. The pace and depth of reform in Turkey complements this huge economic growth. They have a young population, that, combined with the size of the country, and its growth rates, constitutes a major dynamism and a good opportunity for the EU. They have the most powerful Army in the region (ranking second largest after U.S. in NATO and the strongest in the Muslim world) which constitutes a vital alliance in a region of major instability. They are very competitive in science and research (chapter 25 on Science and Research in the EU negotiation process is already closed). They add a considerable weight to EU multi-culturalism efforts and might help to prevent potential scenarios involving a clash of civilizations (not to mention that they are the only country on the face of the planet that combines secularity and democracy with Islam ). With the Russians stepping on the throat of Europe on energy, Europe needs access to the virgin resources of the Caucasuses and the richest oil fields on the face of the planet in the Middle East through Turkey. Major aspect of being a super-power in this world is the rate of dominance over energy resources. The EU has not an ounce of weight on the politics or the future of neither the Middle East or the Caucasuses. Turkey is a major partner for EU`s access to these regions in terms of geopolicy, cultural ties and military and economic alliance. In short EU needs Turkey on her side (either in the EU or not) to be a global power in the future.
As far as the Sharia law goes…. what can I say, keep on dreaming. AKP is not an implication. To the contrary it is the perfect evidence why Turkey will not slip into Islamic fundamentalism. AKP used to be Fazilet. Fazilet was right-wing religious and their vote was about 4%. In 2001 reformists in Fazilet parted and formed AKP. AKP declared allegiance to democratic and secular regime and their votes boosted. There are still some doubts pertaining to some of their people due to their past in Fazilet and that is what the whole fuss was about during last month, so don`t get your hopes up. Sharia is as likely as Papadopoulos joining the TMT because it is not the military that protects the regime it is the people.
So, no matter how loud the EU screams that it doesn't want Turkey, you'll insist she does... The USA have political power, control over oil and LOTS of cheap workers without making Turkey an American state. The science chapter is typical, the fact that Turkey closed it doesn't give you bragging rights, Bulgaria and Romania did it too. A "clash of civilizations" is not an issue concerning the EU, because the EU (minus the UK - soon to change too) keeps herself out of such clashes. Besides, Turkey is not quite popular in the Arab world, I would say even Greece or Cyprus are more popular. Finally, the EU does not need to make Turkey a member to ensure the passage of oil. Turkey would never just cut off oil access mainly because it would be catastrophic for her. Besides, even as a non-member, Turkey will definately accept a "privileged partnership" with the EU.
Finally, the candidacy does not ensure entry, as much as it pisses Turkey, "tiny" Cyprus can veto anytime she wants and there will be nothing Turkey can do about it